Record Soybean Crop Incoming?

Today’s Spotlight Market
Soybean futures are pummeled after the USDA crop report showed that farmers intend on planting the largest acreage on record. Bean futures are already slumping prior to the government agency report. Normally, one can latch onto at least one or two items in a USDA report and say the data is not all bearish or bullish. However, yesterday’s report does not show a single detail that can even modestly be seen as supportive of prices.

 

Fundamentals ?
US Soybean inventories were 405 million bushels to begin the month of June, trumping most estimates. The median estimate was around 382 million bushels which was already a lofty figure. Soybean area for harvest is estimated at a record high 84.1 million acres, if realized, up 7.4 million acres (11 percent) from 2013.most of the gains came in northern states, which experienced a long, harsh winter.? The winner delayed Corn plantings. The combination of delays and unattractive Corn prices resulted in the shift in acreage. Record high planted acreage is estimated in Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, New York, North Dakota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Dakota and Wisconsin. According to a separate report from the USDA, about 72 percent of the crop was rated in good or excellent condition on June 29, up from 67 percent a year earlier. Soybean futures are unlikely to find outside support from Corn or Wheat. At this juncture, Soybean bulls are hoping that cheaper price could spark some demand.

————————————————————————————————-

Disclaimers
This article is provided for informational purposes only. No statement in this article should be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell a security or to provide investment advice. The content provided has been obtained from sources deemed reliable but is not guaranteed as to accuracy and completeness. optionsXpress makes every effort to provide timely information to its recipients but cannot guarantee specific delivery times due to factors beyond our control.

Derivatives involve substantial risk and are not appropriate for all investors. Please read the?“Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options”?prior to investing in futures or options.

For investments using a straddle or strangle options strategy the potential loss is unlimited. Multi-leg option strategies are subject to multiple commissions. Profits may be eroded by the commission expended to open and close the positions and?other risks?apply.

?