Volatility Review: A bit of a roller coaster ride with the S&P 500 and VIX — A general rally in the broad market and a resulting sell-off in the VIX going into this weekend. Don gives a review of the ever-unfolding and crazy world of Euro vol. Plus, Mark Sebastian's week in review. Volatility Viewpoint: A continuation of the discussion about skew, kurtosis, etc. Why don't we remove the mean in our volatility formula and why doing it this way is a better hedge for options traders. Listener Mailbag: Volatility Trading for Retail and new products.Crystal Ball: Mark Sebastian weighs in on the upcoming week. Also, an outlook of Euro vol for the remainder of October.
Volatility Views 27: Stealing the Mean
Volatility Review: A bit of a roller coaster ride with the S&P 500 and VIX — A general rally in the broad market and a resulting sell-off in the VIX going into this weekend. Don gives a review of the ever-unfolding and crazy world of Euro vol. Plus, Mark Sebastian's week in review. Volatility Viewpoint: A continuation of the discussion about skew, kurtosis, etc. Why don't we remove the mean in our volatility formula and why doing it this way is a better hedge for options traders. Listener Mailbag: Volatility Trading for Retail and new products.Crystal Ball: Mark Sebastian weighs in on the upcoming week. Also, an outlook of Euro vol for the remainder of October.
Volatility Views 26: Live from FIA Chicago
Taped live from the exhibit floor at FIA Chicago, the Volatility Views crew informs and entertains in a way that no one else can.
Volatility Views 26: Live from FIA Chicago
Taped live from the exhibit floor at FIA Chicago, the Volatility Views crew informs and entertains in a way that no one else can.
Volatility Views 25: Skewness and Kurtosis
Volatility Review: Metals and gold vol. Euro vol review: Don talks about the recommendations he had made to sell the Euro VolContracts a week ago Thursday, and where they settled this past Friday – a product rich in volatility. S&P, Nasdaq, and commodity vol review. Plus, Mark Sebastian's volatility review.Volatility Viewpoint: A quick primer on mean, median, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis of distributions. Plus, explaining negative market skewness, leptokurtic behavior of stock prices, etc. As always, we keep it easy to understand and non-intimidating.Mailbag: Captain Options asks, "Given the explosion of popularity in weekly options, I'm curious if Mark & Don think there is room for short-term realized volatility products. Would a weekly realized vol product even make sense at this point given the short time frame of the product? Can you generate a worthwhile calculation of volatility in such a short time frame?"Crystal Ball: S&P, Nasdaq, and commodity Vol outlook. Euro VolContracts outlook. What's coming up at VolX and Option Pit?
Volatility Views 25: Skewness and Kurtosis
Volatility Review: Metals and gold vol. Euro vol review: Don talks about the recommendations he had made to sell the Euro VolContracts a week ago Thursday, and where they settled this past Friday – a product rich in volatility. S&P, Nasdaq, and commodity vol review. Plus, Mark Sebastian's volatility review.Volatility Viewpoint: A quick primer on mean, median, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis of distributions. Plus, explaining negative market skewness, leptokurtic behavior of stock prices, etc. As always, we keep it easy to understand and non-intimidating.Mailbag: Captain Options asks, "Given the explosion of popularity in weekly options, I'm curious if Mark & Don think there is room for short-term realized volatility products. Would a weekly realized vol product even make sense at this point given the short time frame of the product? Can you generate a worthwhile calculation of volatility in such a short time frame?"Crystal Ball: S&P, Nasdaq, and commodity Vol outlook. Euro VolContracts outlook. What's coming up at VolX and Option Pit?
Volatility Views 24: Precious Metals Volatility Explosion
Volatility Review: The markets are turning green after a recent sea of red. A huge sell-off in gold and silver — the story here is that people are rolling out of gold and precious Metals and keeping funds in cash to be in a position to buy the market when it reaches the bottom. VIX review — volatility certainly got scary for a little while. Euro vol review. Mailbag: 1. "I've been listening to the show for some time and have become intrigued by the concept of VolContracts. I think I have a decent handle on the differences between implied versus realized volatility and I'm ready to take the next step. But that's where I'm stuck. How do I trade VolContracts? I don't see them promoted or even mentioned by any brokerage firms. If I call or email my broker (Interactive Brokers), are they even going to know what I'm talking about? Do you have any brokers that you'd recommend for their expertise with VolContracts? Also, since they are listed by the CME and track realized vol of Euro futures, I assume that I will need a futures account to trade them. Lastly, are these listed on Globex so I can trade them electronically or do I need to put an order into a pit?" 2. "Bob Krause advocated the use of volatility cones on a recent show, and I know Don has discussed them in the past as well. However, Mark made an excellent point in a recent episode that, in this environment, vol cones may not be the best barometer for where you should work your orders. It got me wondering if maybe there were certain market environments where vol cones were extremely useful, and other times, such as the current environment, when waiting for mean reversion is the quickest way to blowing out. Long Term Capital immediately comes to mind. I'm wondering what you guys think on this issue. I think I know where Mark stands, but I wonder where Don falls on this since I know he is an ardent fan of vol cones." Crystal Ball: Metal vols — have we just witnessed the bottom of gold and silver? Mark Sebastian predicts VIX to hit 50 in the next three weeks. We are halfway through the Oct VolContract, and as of Thursday the contract settled at 15.87 — you would need 18 volatility on the Euro, going forward, to justify that price.
Volatility Views 24: Precious Metals Volatility Explosion
Volatility Review: The markets are turning green after a recent sea of red. A huge sell-off in gold and silver — the story here is that people are rolling out of gold and precious Metals and keeping funds in cash to be in a position to buy the market when it reaches the bottom. VIX review — volatility certainly got scary for a little while. Euro vol review. Mailbag: 1. "I've been listening to the show for some time and have become intrigued by the concept of VolContracts. I think I have a decent handle on the differences between implied versus realized volatility and I'm ready to take the next step. But that's where I'm stuck. How do I trade VolContracts? I don't see them promoted or even mentioned by any brokerage firms. If I call or email my broker (Interactive Brokers), are they even going to know what I'm talking about? Do you have any brokers that you'd recommend for their expertise with VolContracts? Also, since they are listed by the CME and track realized vol of Euro futures, I assume that I will need a futures account to trade them. Lastly, are these listed on Globex so I can trade them electronically or do I need to put an order into a pit?" 2. "Bob Krause advocated the use of volatility cones on a recent show, and I know Don has discussed them in the past as well. However, Mark made an excellent point in a recent episode that, in this environment, vol cones may not be the best barometer for where you should work your orders. It got me wondering if maybe there were certain market environments where vol cones were extremely useful, and other times, such as the current environment, when waiting for mean reversion is the quickest way to blowing out. Long Term Capital immediately comes to mind. I'm wondering what you guys think on this issue. I think I know where Mark stands, but I wonder where Don falls on this since I know he is an ardent fan of vol cones." Crystal Ball: Metal vols — have we just witnessed the bottom of gold and silver? Mark Sebastian predicts VIX to hit 50 in the next three weeks. We are halfway through the Oct VolContract, and as of Thursday the contract settled at 15.87 — you would need 18 volatility on the Euro, going forward, to justify that price.
Volatility Views 23: Can You Eat Risk-Adjusted Returns?
Volatility Review: VIX futures vs. VIX cash — many long-dated contracts predicted the sell-off in VIX cash that is now materializing. Bond vol has been crazy, and bonds themselves have been very expensive. Implied and realized volatility. Volatility Viewpoint: Don takes this viewpoint segment to discuss the ideas and principles behind the Kelly Criterion.Crystal Ball: With the VIX in decline, as it moves toward the prediction given by long-term futures, will it dip and then turn back to the upside? An outlook of Euro vol — with the period of arb availability gone, can we find a new relationship to exploit?
Volatility Views 23: Can You Eat Risk-Adjusted Returns?
Volatility Review: VIX futures vs. VIX cash — many long-dated contracts predicted the sell-off in VIX cash that is now materializing. Bond vol has been crazy, and bonds themselves have been very expensive. Implied and realized volatility. Volatility Viewpoint: Don takes this viewpoint segment to discuss the ideas and principles behind the Kelly Criterion.Crystal Ball: With the VIX in decline, as it moves toward the prediction given by long-term futures, will it dip and then turn back to the upside? An outlook of Euro vol — with the period of arb availability gone, can we find a new relationship to exploit?
Volatility Views 22: Bringing Don to the Dark Side
Volatility Review: A broad market volatility review ? it's been another volatile week. The market sold off in the wake of a European central bank resignation. Euro vol review ? where did Mark and Don's wager close out? Do they have enough for a private island in the Bahamas? Plus, OptionPit.com's Mark Sebastian gives his review of the week. Volatility Viewpoint: In this combo Volatility Viewpoint/Listener Mail segment, Mark and Don answer a question from the Options Insider Forum: "I enjoyed the conversation last week between Mark and Bob about the Volatility Feedback Effect. They mentioned that Don is not a fan of this theory and that Bob and Don have had many fights on the subject. I'm curious what Don's issues are with this concept and what he feels is the truth on the matter." Indeed, Don gets his rebuttal, and gives his two cents about the volatility feedback effect. Crystal Ball: Mark Sebastian's outlook for the coming week, as well as an outlook of S&P 500 volatility and Euro vol.
Volatility Views 22: Bringing Don to the Dark Side
Volatility Review: A broad market volatility review ? it's been another volatile week. The market sold off in the wake of a European central bank resignation. Euro vol review ? where did Mark and Don's wager close out? Do they have enough for a private island in the Bahamas? Plus, OptionPit.com's Mark Sebastian gives his review of the week. Volatility Viewpoint: In this combo Volatility Viewpoint/Listener Mail segment, Mark and Don answer a question from the Options Insider Forum: "I enjoyed the conversation last week between Mark and Bob about the Volatility Feedback Effect. They mentioned that Don is not a fan of this theory and that Bob and Don have had many fights on the subject. I'm curious what Don's issues are with this concept and what he feels is the truth on the matter." Indeed, Don gets his rebuttal, and gives his two cents about the volatility feedback effect. Crystal Ball: Mark Sebastian's outlook for the coming week, as well as an outlook of S&P 500 volatility and Euro vol.

