Option Block 144: Walking into the Bandsaw of Theta

Trading Block: Tosaw's run with Apple may be on its last legs. Loads of earnings after the close: NOT AAPL, but AMD, Bank of America (BOA), and Microsoft (MSFT). Odd Block: Unusual and interesting activity inPandora Media, Inc. (P), CBS Corp. (CBS), and EXCO Resources, Inc. (XCO).Xpress Block: Tim Navabi discusses being prepared for expiration and keeping an eye on your position during price swing movements. Strategy Block: Uncle Mike Tosaw discusses how to get back into a stock once you have been called out of it. Around the Block: More earnings coming up.

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Option Block 143: Apple Apocalypse

Trading Block: S&P rally vs. NASDAQ (Apple) apocalypse. AAPL sold out aggressively, down about 4%. Tosaw suggested last week the many buyers were lurking around $600. Priceline, Google and Apple were all down on the day. Andrew has a theory on why. Ten-year note rebound.Odd Block: An Apple overview, and unusual activity in Arvin Meritor INC. (MTOR). Xpress Block: John Grigus sits down in the OX hot seat and discusses earnings, Citi and OX's parent company, Charles Schwab. Other activity in Starbucks, Amazon and Chipotle. Mail Block: Capitol requirement for trading AAPL?Around the Block: Keeping an eye on Spain. Huge earnings week ahead: APPL, CMG, BAC, INTC, AMD, NOK all this week.

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Volatility Views 49: How Best to Price Variance and Volatility Swaps

Volatility Views 49: How Best to Price Variance and Volatility Swaps

Volatility Review: It's funny how it didn't take long for our prediction of a range-bound VIX to be proven wrong! The VVIX has been high. Is a tradable VIX of VIX in the works? What have the NASDAQ and SPX vol of vol six-month averages been? One-year? Don gives some remarkable numbers. Apple on the move downwards; some are eager to buy Apple at 600. NASDAQ vol cones, like most volatility readings, are at historical lows. Volatility Viewpoint: Today's guests, Thomas Thorsen and Emil Stamp, are the authors of the master's thesis, "Pricing of Variance and Volatility Swaps in a Stochastic Volatility and Jump Framework." The gang discusses pricing models of OTC variance swaps, the different models the authors created, and the accuracy of the models for both forecasting realized volatility, as well as pricing of variance swaps and GARCH models in real-world applications.Crystal Ball: Are you still shorting the VIX? Are higher levels forecasted for the future? Perception versus reality.

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Volatility Views 49: How Best to Price Variance and Volatility Swaps

Volatility Views 49: How Best to Price Variance and Volatility Swaps

Volatility Review: It's funny how it didn't take long for our prediction of a range-bound VIX to be proven wrong! The VVIX has been high. Is a tradable VIX of VIX in the works? What have the NASDAQ and SPX vol of vol six-month averages been? One-year? Don gives some remarkable numbers. Apple on the move downwards; some are eager to buy Apple at 600. NASDAQ vol cones, like most volatility readings, are at historical lows. Volatility Viewpoint: Today's guests, Thomas Thorsen and Emil Stamp, are the authors of the master's thesis, "Pricing of Variance and Volatility Swaps in a Stochastic Volatility and Jump Framework." The gang discusses pricing models of OTC variance swaps, the different models the authors created, and the accuracy of the models for both forecasting realized volatility, as well as pricing of variance swaps and GARCH models in real-world applications.Crystal Ball: Are you still shorting the VIX? Are higher levels forecasted for the future? Perception versus reality.

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Option Block 142: Premium Selling Idiots

Trading Block: VIX popped out of its range — so much for fading to the downside. Apple, the target of an antitrust suit, was still up 1% yesterday. Commodities rundown — new 10 year lows reached in the natural gas market. Odd Block: Interesting and unusual activity in Iron Mountain (IRM).Xpress Block: Mike Z from OX sits down for his first Xpress Block and discusses the announcement of ICE launching a cash settled grain futures contracts. Strategy Block: Mike Tosaw goes over the difference between being a degenerate premium seller and just being an idiot — and how to be the former instead of the latter.Around the Block: Earnings are back baby! Google after the bell today. Intel earnings – 4/17. Thursday is (4/19) the big day with — CMG, LUV, BAC, AMD, NOK. Keeping an eye on short puts in crude oil.

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Options Boot Camp 2: The Greeks

Options Boot Camp 2: The Greeks

Your Options Boot Camp Drill Instructors, Mark Longo and Dan Passarelli, give you an overview of the four main variables that are used to measure risk in the options market. If you've been intimidated by The Greeks in the past, now is your chance to finally master Delta, Gamma, Theta and Vega.

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Option Block 141: Getting Long Prison Premium

Trading Block: Market down today in the wake of weak non-farm numbers on Friday. Yet Apple still up, if only by 1/2%. VIX heading north. It’s the $1billion day — Microsoft buys 800 AOL patents for $1B and Facebook buys Instagram for $1B. Odd Block: Interesting and unusual activity in America Online (AOL) and Corrections Corps of America (CXW).Xpress Block: John Grigus sits down at the OX desk and discusses the possibility of mini-stocks (1/10th size). Mail Block: Open Interest QuestionAround the Block: Looking to see if the vol can expand a little more – waiting for the bulls to come back. Keeping an eye on initial claims given the weak jobs number. Alcoa earnings 4/10, Google earnings 4/12.

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Volatility Views 48: Masters of the VIX

Volatility Views 48: Masters of the VIX

Volatility Review: Not much vol action to report with the markets closed on recording day (Friday). Steep contango in VIX futures has lessened in the past few weeks. Long holiday weekend volatility didn't fully come out of VIX futures and index options, which is highly interesting and unusual. Also an unusual situation — unemployment numbers were released on a day when the market was closed. Don and Mark discuss contango. NASDAQ volatility update.Volatility Viewpoint: Mark and Don are joined by David Palmer, Volatility Book Portfolio Manager at Hudson Bay Capital. They discuss the evolution of skew, the growing market of products tied to VIX, and how they're manipulating the underlying, the halting of TVIX share creation, OTC versus listed trading, volatility arbitrage opportunities, rational arbitrage, and hedging and downside protection.Crystal Ball: Nothing to rant about in S&P land, at least until we reach the next unknown unknown. Summer doldrums are coming. The impact of having such low levels of realized volatility.

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Volatility Views 48: Masters of the VIX

Volatility Views 48: Masters of the VIX

Volatility Review: Not much vol action to report with the markets closed on recording day (Friday). Steep contango in VIX futures has lessened in the past few weeks. Long holiday weekend volatility didn't fully come out of VIX futures and index options, which is highly interesting and unusual. Also an unusual situation — unemployment numbers were released on a day when the market was closed. Don and Mark discuss contango. NASDAQ volatility update.Volatility Viewpoint: Mark and Don are joined by David Palmer, Volatility Book Portfolio Manager at Hudson Bay Capital. They discuss the evolution of skew, the growing market of products tied to VIX, and how they're manipulating the underlying, the halting of TVIX share creation, OTC versus listed trading, volatility arbitrage opportunities, rational arbitrage, and hedging and downside protection.Crystal Ball: Nothing to rant about in S&P land, at least until we reach the next unknown unknown. Summer doldrums are coming. The impact of having such low levels of realized volatility.

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Option Block 140: Doing Stuff with the Funk

Trading Block: The markets were aimless today except for Apple carrying the NASDAQ. It's a weekday, so Apple must be up 1%. Vol rundown. The mainstream media finally starts to pick up on what we've been saying about VIX, VXX and the TVIX all along, "Curious Case of VIX and VIX Products."Odd Block: Activity review from March 8: Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL). Unusual activity today in: Wellcare Health Plans Inc. (WCG).Xpress Block: Newcomer Anitra DuPart jumps into the OX hot seat and today's customer activity at optionsXpress. Jobless claims and an Apple rally gave a little bounce to the market. Bed, Bath & Beyond (BBY) came out with earnings today, profits up 32%.Strategy Block: Uncle Mike Tosaw sits down and discusses some valuable life lessons. First, you must have trust when working with a business partner, financial planner, etc. – even Bernie Madoff has a clean record. Second, you must understand the important of financial education. Around the Block: Watching the weekend, it hasn't really come out yet. The endless European crisis continues, but switches the Spain.

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Volatility Views 47: How Dynamic Volatility Can Reshape Your Portfolio

Volatility Views 47: How Dynamic Volatility Can Reshape Your Portfolio

Volatility Review: VIX review, with interesting corresponding elements relative to VIX and VIX skew. Monday massive overreaction to the market rally. NASDAQ vol review, driven by AAPL, which is slowing down a bit. Volatility Viewpoint: Mark, Bob, and Mark are joined by Peter Christoffersen, Professor of Finance, Rotman School of Management at the University of Toronto, and author of Elements of Financial Risk Management and the forthcoming Handbook of Economic Forecasting. Prof. Christoffersen discusses dynamic volatility, the Sharpe ratio, and practical applications for the average investor. Mark asks Prof. Christoffersen whether it's possible to have a truly diversified portfolio without having some kind of volatility asset. He also discusses his research on skew and its impact on the underlying instrument. Crystal Ball: Looking deep into the murky ether of the future of volatility, Mark and Mark pontificate on the contango environment of VIX futures, with Sebastian seeing VIX staying between 14 and 17. Will AAPL vol come in? As AAPL goes, so goes the NASDAQ. There might be an increase in volatility post-Easter, with the beginning of earnings season.

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Option Block 139: No More Exchanges, Please

Trading Block: Lots of upside on the day: Dow, S&P, NASDAQ, and VIX. The many masters of VIX. Andrew and the love of fundamental indicators. Doing stuff – NASDAQ-style. Yes, they're launching ANOTHER options platform. More fragmentation! More issues with spreading! More quotes! The more the merrier? Um, not so much. The gang also discusses myriad ways to improve the market, including regulation, margin, managing risk, and doing stuff. Odd Block: Unusual activity in Gap, Inc. (GPS), Electronic Arts, Inc. (EA), and TJX Compaines, Inc. (TJX).Xpress Block: Groupon restates earnings from last quarter, sparking several calls to the trading desk. Around the Block: Shortened trading week this week, so make sure you price the weekend out accordingly. Andrew is thinking that volatility will come in a little. Webinars are on the calendar for KYO in April and May. Non-farm payrolls are still coming out on Friday, despite the market being closed.

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