Volatility Views 55: Good Volatility, Bad Volatility

Volatility Views 55: Good Volatility, Bad Volatility

Volatility Review: The play between pre- and post-election Greek volatility has seen big action. Ultimately though, the EU will let the Greeks decided their own fate. Andrew G. does not want to own pre-election juice. Given realized volatility, there has not been much change in the NASDAQ. The three-month realized vol has actually risen somewhat — replacing volatility that was extremely low just a short while ago. Volatility Viewpoint: Today's guest is Andrew Patton, Associate Professor of Economics and Finance at Duke University. He is the author or co-author of several academic papers, including "Good Volatility, Bad Volatility." Prof. Patton discusses some of its findings, including the importance of directional movement in forecasting future volatility.Crystal Ball: In VIX, Andrew G. is just waiting for the Greek election to sell June, buy July, and unleash the time spread. NASDAQ one-month realized may roll over a little bit. The short term might be dropping more, but that is not a ringing endorsement.

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Volatility Views 55: Good Volatility, Bad Volatility

Volatility Views 55: Good Volatility, Bad Volatility

Volatility Review: The play between pre- and post-election Greek volatility has seen big action. Ultimately though, the EU will let the Greeks decided their own fate. Andrew G. does not want to own pre-election juice. Given realized volatility, there has not been much change in the NASDAQ. The three-month realized vol has actually risen somewhat — replacing volatility that was extremely low just a short while ago. Volatility Viewpoint: Today's guest is Andrew Patton, Associate Professor of Economics and Finance at Duke University. He is the author or co-author of several academic papers, including "Good Volatility, Bad Volatility." Prof. Patton discusses some of its findings, including the importance of directional movement in forecasting future volatility.Crystal Ball: In VIX, Andrew G. is just waiting for the Greek election to sell June, buy July, and unleash the time spread. NASDAQ one-month realized may roll over a little bit. The short term might be dropping more, but that is not a ringing endorsement.

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Option Block 154: When In Doubt, Roll It Out

Trading Block: More Facebook fallout – What's the situation been like at OX? Participate in our Facebook options survey, link on Options Insider. Facebook dragged other social media stock, like Zynga and LinkedIn, down with it. A low BBI with Apple over at KYO. Odd Block: Interesting and/or unusual activity in: AT&T, Currency Shares Euro Trust, (FXE), and Owens-Illinois, Inc. (OI). Xpress Block: Tim Navabi takes a seat in Xpress Block chair and discusses a call taken today by a customer looking to buy some silver futures all the way out to Dec 2015. Also, some updates on the commodities as well.Strategy Block: Mike Tosaw has the floor in this Strategy Block and talks about trading back spreads Apple.Around the Block: Facebook Options list on the 29th.

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Option Block 153: Facebook Faceplant

Trading Block: The market had no real direction. The Euro got crushed and bonds had the only give back of the day. Sebastian looks at the correlation between TLT and VIX. Commodities rundown featuring gold, crude oil and natural gas.Xpress Block: Going over the tumultuous week/weekend of Facebook. What was the environment like over at OX? The financial media had a field day with the Facebook IPO. Going over the valuation of Facebook and the upcoming options on the 29th.Around the Block: Breaking news: On May 31st, the CBOE will extend the listings of their PM settled, SPX end of week options to include the following expirations: June 8th, June 22nd and July 6th. Keeping an eye on the crude inventories report. A long three-day weekend coming up.

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Volatility Views 54: Listener Mail Extravaganza, Part Two

Volatility Views 54: Listener Mail Extravaganza, Part Two

Volatility Review: NASDAQ one-month vol came in a little bit, and at the same time the three-month vol went up slightly. The risk premium between implied and realized volatility has widened further. A crazy scenario of implied vs. realized volatility in VIX. Listener Mail: Mark, Don, and Mark take on listener questions.Crystal Ball: We might start to see levels of realized vol taper off a bit in NASDAQ. The three-month vol of vol is actually lower than the vol of the S&P itself. VIX could reach 30 sooner than later. Bonds are in even worse condition.

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Volatility Views 54: Listener Mail Extravaganza, Part Two

Volatility Views 54: Listener Mail Extravaganza, Part Two

Volatility Review: NASDAQ one-month vol came in a little bit, and at the same time the three-month vol went up slightly. The risk premium between implied and realized volatility has widened further. A crazy scenario of implied vs. realized volatility in VIX. Listener Mail: Mark, Don, and Mark take on listener questions.Crystal Ball: We might start to see levels of realized vol taper off a bit in NASDAQ. The three-month vol of vol is actually lower than the vol of the S&P itself. VIX could reach 30 sooner than later. Bonds are in even worse condition.

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Option Block 152: Facebook: Buy, Sell, or Wait for Options?

Trading Block: Not a great day on the market, NASDAQ down significantly. The big grind toward summer begins, almost an exact replay on last year. OTM premium looks like a good buy. A rundown of commodities – gold is still getting whipped. Odd Block: Interesting and unusual activity in American Eagle Outfitters (AEO), Elan Pharmaceuticals, and Clean Energy (CLNE). Strategy Block: Facebook’s official price is $38, buy or sell? How high could this stock possibly go?Around the Block: Looking at Sears trading tomorrow after earnings today. The TLT may likely continue to go higher. More uneasiness in Greece. May we hit a temporary bottom tomorrow?

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Options Bootcamp 5: Spread Trading

Options Bootcamp 5: Spread Trading

Basic Training: Today we're going to dive into spreads. Spreads are really the defining characteristics of options. What is a spread? Why would you do a spread vs. trading an option outright? Max value of a spread is the differential between the two strike prices. Long call spread, aka vertical, examples with everyone's favorite stock XYZ. Spreads have components called legs – they are the individual parts of the spread Roll Call: Mark and Dan sit down with Christopher Newman, the Zecco Trading Vice President of Customer Service, and run him through a few questions.Mail Call: Answering listener questions.

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