TRADING BLOCK: Research in Motion (RIMM) – The future looks bleak. "The Widowmaker" strikes again – Netflix (NFLX), which was trading $300 just two months ago, down 40%. Yet another "rogue trader" on the loose – this time it costs UBS $2 billion. Commodities rundown – gold is coming down, is this the right time tighten up your hedges? ODD BLOCK: Unusual and interesting options activity in: UBS AG (UBS) – a staggering $2 billion lost in trading as a rogue trader racked up unauthorized dealings. Call buying and put selling on the stock appear to be the most employed strategies of the day, with investors expecting shares to recover in the next five weeks. Amerigroup Corp. (AGP) – ahead of the company's analyst meeting in New York tomorrow morning, an opening buyer appeared in the September 45 Calls, paying the offers of $0.25-$0.35 for approximately 3500 contracts. These options expire tomorrow after the close so these trades will need the stock to climb another 4.6% to begin to see any profits. XPRESS BLOCK: Tim Navabi takes the reins and discusses the hectic day today at OX due to "The Widowmaker" aka Netflix, as well as the upcoming expiration of September futures. STRATEGY BLOCK: Mike Tosaw illuminates us on some in-depth options strategy. First, with the upcoming expiration, if you're not ready to hold a stock and you're short a put, maybe you'll want to close out those penny options. Second, make sure you know position delta before doing ratio spreads. AROUND THE BLOCK: An update on RIMM. Still some concern over Greece, also some concern about expiration upcoming. Not too much else lighting up the tape on the earnings front though. Play it safe this weekend.
Option Block 89: Risk On, Risk Off
Trading Block: Metals outlook – Gold, bonds, and GLD have all been pulling back, there seems to be a lot of building of cash reserves right now. The heavy movement in VXO relative to VIX means there is a lot at the money buying to up the curve. Risk on/ risk off. VIX has been trading above VXN, so clearly the risk is in the financials, not tech. Could there be a violent move toward the upside? Is there any truth to the rumor that China could be buying Italian debt? Interview Block: Today's guest Joe Cusick, the head of education at OX, talks a little about the progression he feels most people should go through when learning about options. How do you keep investors interested while teaching them about the stuff that's not as fun? Education for some of the more refined and advanced traders. Finally, what is Joe's opinion of the VIX-based products, ETF – ETN, that have come into the market place? Has volatility become an asset class? Strategy Block: Mike Cavanaugh discusses what he saw in the marketplace, and how to build a long term investment portfolio given the trends he observed. Around The Block: Our hosts prognosticate about the upcoming week. In a market like this, it’s a great opportunity to sell premium. Retail sales on the 14th and Philly Fed comes out on the 15th, both of these could have a big impact on the market. When will things with Greece get resolved?
Option Block 89: Risk On, Risk Off
Trading Block: Metals outlook – Gold, bonds, and GLD have all been pulling back, there seems to be a lot of building of cash reserves right now. The heavy movement in VXO relative to VIX means there is a lot at the money buying to up the curve. Risk on/ risk off. VIX has been trading above VXN, so clearly the risk is in the financials, not tech. Could there be a violent move toward the upside? Is there any truth to the rumor that China could be buying Italian debt? Interview Block: Today's guest Joe Cusick, the head of education at OX, talks a little about the progression he feels most people should go through when learning about options. How do you keep investors interested while teaching them about the stuff that's not as fun? Education for some of the more refined and advanced traders. Finally, what is Joe's opinion of the VIX-based products, ETF – ETN, that have come into the market place? Has volatility become an asset class? Strategy Block: Mike Cavanaugh discusses what he saw in the marketplace, and how to build a long term investment portfolio given the trends he observed. Around The Block: Our hosts prognosticate about the upcoming week. In a market like this, it’s a great opportunity to sell premium. Retail sales on the 14th and Philly Fed comes out on the 15th, both of these could have a big impact on the market. When will things with Greece get resolved?
Option Block 88: Gold Vol and The Big O
Trading Block: The market turned red despite Uncle Ben's promises. Obama's job speech – how will it affect the market? Commodity rundown – GLD off to the races again today, but is it time to start being bearish? A rundown of volatility & VIX Odd Block: Unusual activity in SuperValu Inc. (SVU) – This is probably someone taking advantage of option liquidity to dump some stock. FedEx Corp. (FDX) – An example of Bullish risk reversals; R.R. Donnelley & Sons Co. (RRD) Xpress Block/Mail Block: OX's own Tim Navabi answers a few listener questions in this combo Xpress / Listener Questions block. 1.) Schwab hasn't offered portfolio margin in the past, but now that they have acquired OX, will they be offering that to their customers now or is that still a benefit only for OX customers? 2.) I have some clients who are also Schwab customers. They are excited about the prospect of portfolio margin coming to their accounts. How do they go about getting that treatment? Do they have to switch their accounts to OX? Will it be automatic? Is there some online form to fill out? Around The Block: Looking forward to President Obama's speech on jobs – could the payroll tax be a huge issue? After this speech will we see the whole weekend coming out?
Option Block 88: Gold Vol and The Big O
Trading Block: The market turned red despite Uncle Ben's promises. Obama's job speech – how will it affect the market? Commodity rundown – GLD off to the races again today, but is it time to start being bearish? A rundown of volatility & VIX Odd Block: Unusual activity in SuperValu Inc. (SVU) – This is probably someone taking advantage of option liquidity to dump some stock. FedEx Corp. (FDX) – An example of Bullish risk reversals; R.R. Donnelley & Sons Co. (RRD) Xpress Block/Mail Block: OX's own Tim Navabi answers a few listener questions in this combo Xpress / Listener Questions block. 1.) Schwab hasn't offered portfolio margin in the past, but now that they have acquired OX, will they be offering that to their customers now or is that still a benefit only for OX customers? 2.) I have some clients who are also Schwab customers. They are excited about the prospect of portfolio margin coming to their accounts. How do they go about getting that treatment? Do they have to switch their accounts to OX? Will it be automatic? Is there some online form to fill out? Around The Block: Looking forward to President Obama's speech on jobs – could the payroll tax be a huge issue? After this speech will we see the whole weekend coming out?
Option Block 87: OX-Schwab Day One
Trading Block: Another yo-yo day on the street. Manufacturing data was stronger than expected, but not enough to keep the market positive. The long weekend should have been priced out already, but it seems that many traders are holding off from hitting the bids ahead of non-farms tomorrow. A look of the [meta]ls/commodities: gold, silver, and natural gas. Odd Block: Unusual activity in: Dunkin' Brands Group, Inc. (DNKN); American Express Co. (AXP); Lexmark (LXK) Xpress Block: Alex Jacobson is back and discusses Legal Day 1 – the first day the Schwab/Option Xpress business combination became legal, and the party that ensued outside his window. The futures are becoming a more mainstream product. Strategy Block: Mike Tosaw discusses the world of 1 by 2 ratio spreads. What are the advantages & disadvantages? Around The Block: Everyone is keeping their powder dry ahead of non-farms payrolls tomorrow. Is this the time to get long premium and perhaps get a free weekend?
Option Block 87: OX-Schwab Day One
Trading Block: Another yo-yo day on the street. Manufacturing data was stronger than expected, but not enough to keep the market positive. The long weekend should have been priced out already, but it seems that many traders are holding off from hitting the bids ahead of non-farms tomorrow. A look of the [[meta]]ls/commodities: gold, silver, and natural gas. Odd Block: Unusual activity in: Dunkin' Brands Group, Inc. (DNKN); American Express Co. (AXP); Lexmark (LXK) Xpress Block: Alex Jacobson is back and discusses Legal Day 1 – the first day the Schwab/Option Xpress business combination became legal, and the party that ensued outside his window. The futures are becoming a more mainstream product. Strategy Block: Mike Tosaw discusses the world of 1 by 2 ratio spreads. What are the advantages & disadvantages? Around The Block: Everyone is keeping their powder dry ahead of non-farms payrolls tomorrow. Is this the time to get long premium and perhaps get a free weekend?
Option Block 86: Back in the Day
TRADING BLOCK: Tech leads the way today, while GLD finally has a down day. Short VIX bets are finally paying off, but there's still more downside to go. Plus, a rundown of [meta]ls from a wild day. How much of a downside move in gold are we looking at before considering rolling the puts back down? Not much action to report from commodities today. ODD BLOCK: Unusual activity in Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) – Who purchased the lottery ticket? IMAX Corp. (IMAX) – Is this from the re-running of Transformers 3? Sealed Air Corp. (SEE) – A size day for SEE on Friday XPRESS BLOCK: Today's guest Alex Jacobson discusses retail's appetite for futures recently. How the times have changed in the futures market, especially for retail. AROUND THE BLOCK: Is there more VIX downside ahead? What's the weekend risk? Is it worth it to own premium? Non-farms coming up on Friday, more to be discussed about that next show.
Option Block 86: Back in the Day
TRADING BLOCK: Tech leads the way today, while GLD finally has a down day. Short VIX bets are finally paying off, but there's still more downside to go. Plus, a rundown of [[meta]]ls from a wild day. How much of a downside move in gold are we looking at before considering rolling the puts back down? Not much action to report from commodities today. ODD BLOCK: Unusual activity in Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) – Who purchased the lottery ticket? IMAX Corp. (IMAX) – Is this from the re-running of Transformers 3? Sealed Air Corp. (SEE) – A size day for SEE on Friday XPRESS BLOCK: Today's guest Alex Jacobson discusses retail's appetite for futures recently. How the times have changed in the futures market, especially for retail. AROUND THE BLOCK: Is there more VIX downside ahead? What's the weekend risk? Is it worth it to own premium? Non-farms coming up on Friday, more to be discussed about that next show.
Option Block 85: Apple's Jobs-lessness
TRADING BLOCK: The news of Steve Jobs stepping down from Apple has dominated the headlines. What does this mean for future Apple plays? What's the outlook on Apple vol going forward? An outlook of the [[meta]]ls market. The CME raises the margin rate of gold, a little too late? What's driving an interest in copper? Also, has scalping negative gamma exacerbated the downward movements seen in the past few weeks? XPRESS BLOCK: Rob K discusses how Bank of America's order flow surged as bottom pickers got an early Christmas care of Warren Buffet. The newest OX iPad app is just around the corner! AROUND THE BLOCK: QE3 – Does it even have a prayer of happening? What is the positioning ahead of the Bernanke speech? Could we possibly take a hit going into the weekend?
Option Block 85: Apple Jobs-less
TRADING BLOCK: The news of Steve Jobs stepping down from Apple has dominated the headlines. What does this mean for future Apple plays? What's the outlook on Apple vol going forward? An outlook of the [[meta]]ls market. The CME raises the margin rate of gold, a little too late? What's driving an interest in copper? Also, has scalping negative gamma exacerbated the downward movements seen in the past few weeks? XPRESS BLOCK: Rob K discusses how Bank of America's order flow surged as bottom pickers got an early Christmas care of Warren Buffet. The newest OX iPad app is just around the corner! AROUND THE BLOCK: QE3 – Does it even have a prayer of happening? What is the positioning ahead of the Bernanke speech? Could we possibly take a hit going into the weekend?
Option Block 84: The Madness Returns
Trading Block: Special guest Andrew Giovinazzi of Aqumin takes Sebastian's seat as the all-star gang discusses market madness. The market has become quite the drama queen with global concerns smack the market again. Consumer confidence is still low – this is getting to be a broken record. Commodities rundown – gold and treasuries are where everyone is putting their money. Patent lust has been inflating some smaller tech stocks like NOK, EK, etc. Odd Block: Unusual activities in Seagate Technology (STX), New York Times Co. (NYT) and NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) Xpress Block: What's been going on behind the scenes at optionsXpress – today was one of those outlier days. Around the Block: The patent wars continue to drive activity in the tech sector ? watch your upside. Niche names like CBOE should be faring well in the environment, not following the market down – perhaps there may be some opportunity in the downside? Also, a VIX outlook for the next few sessions.
